Abstract: This research analyses the interaction between economic reforms, democratic
reforms, and economic growth. One of the salient characteristics of the transition region
has been two very distinct patterns between economic and democratic reforms:
convergence of the two reform dimensions in the CEE countries and divergence in
Eurasia. Nevertheless, results from econometric tests (which attempt to control for
possible intervening influences) suggest that economic and democratic reforms are
mutually reinforcing throughout the region, even in Eurasia. We also found evidence
that: (1) economic reforms have a stronger impact on democratic reforms than the
reverse; (2) economic reforms favorably affect economic growth; (3) democratic reforms
favorably affect economic growth indirectly (via economic reforms) if not directly; and
(4) while the feedback effects from economic growth to reforms are more ambiguous,
there is some evidence that economic growth may actually stifle democratic reforms,
and/or economic contraction may facilitate democratization.
Comment
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